FuturologyBot t1_jdovac7 wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/izumi3682:
Submission statement from OP. Note: This submission statement "locks in" after about 30 minutes and can no longer be edited. Please refer to my statement they link, which I can continue to edit. I often edit my submission statement, sometimes for the next few days if needs must. There is often required additional grammatical editing and additional added detail.
From the article.
>Imagine that as you are boarding an airplane, half the engineers who built it tell you there is a 10 percent chance the plane will crash, killing you and everyone else on it. Would you still board?
>In 2022, over 700 top academics and researchers behind the leading artificial intelligence companies were asked in a survey about future A.I. risk. Half of those surveyed stated that there was a 10 percent or greater chance of human extinction (or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment) from future A.I. systems. Technology companies building today’s large language models are caught in a race to put all of humanity on that plane.
And.
>For thousands of years, we humans have lived inside the dreams of other humans. We have worshiped gods, pursued ideals of beauty and dedicated our lives to causes that originated in the imagination of some prophet, poet or politician. Soon we will also find ourselves living inside the hallucinations of nonhuman intelligence.
This man can write. But I wrote some warnings my ownself starting back in 2017...
I like to use the analogy of an approaching tornado or tsunami to describe the impact and effects of exponentially ever more powerful AI on human civilization on Earth. For such a long time 2016 to 2022, it looked so far away but dreamlike and mesmerizing in its affect.
Today it is upon us. Yes, just like that. I just had Chatgpt look at a highly sophisticated abstract concerning the phyics of solar wind impact on geomagnetics, cuz i wanted to see if we were gonna see the Northern Lights here in the Twin Cities (MN) tonight. First I typed can you understand the following abstract. And it said, provide me the abstract. So i copy/pasta the abstract. In a fraction of second, probably less than a quarter of a second, it came back with yes, I understand this. Then it paraphrased it in similar highly technical prose. Then I typed, because I was not going to take a chance that I could not understand a HS grad equivalent explanation, explain this abstract in a manner that would be appropriate to a 6th grader. And then I fully understood what the abstract meant.
"What hath God wrought?" That was the first message sent by telegraph in the USA. What indeed hath God wrought for humanity with our shiny new AIs. I'm thinking we need to slow it down now too. But I think that is now a physical impossibility. It is already too entwined in everything electronic, especially national defense. That of the USA, China and Russia and more than likely, everybody else.
We are now at the point where we can no longer predict with certainty what our civilization will look like one from today. That is the impact of this AI ascendence. I was sounding the warning as far back as 2017, but everybody regarded me as well, "somewhat hyperbolic". The less kind said I was detached from reality. It was "not how AI worked."
At any rate, the time for warning is over. The time for attempting to adapt has begun. I hope it all goes well for us. I hope we have enough "alignment" philosophy inculcated in GPT-4 and whatever on Earth "GPT-5" is gonna be.
I had predicted that the 'technological singularity" would likely occur about the year 2029, but we know today that in probably less than three years now, something very much akin to ASI, that is "artificial super intelligence" is going to exist. And ASI=TS. I don't know how we can control this. All of the AI experts are either stunned or attempting to smooth over what is coming. I posted several of these already. They are not reassuring.
Anyway, about every three months now there will be "significant" improvement in our AI efforts. I guess I'm just along for the ride at this point. I hope we can get something like UBI or post-scarcity for our citizens. Because buckle your seatbelts, it's gonna be a (crazy/insane/unimaginable) bumpy decade from here on out.
I'm Catholic. I pray that our Lord Jesus Christ returns today. The Second Coming. If not and we make it thru these next couple of years. Yes--Next. Couple. Of. Years. That it may have been God's Will that the TS occurred and that we will be on the "next level". And capable of receiving new revelations that would not be possible to comprehend prior to the TS.
Do you think I'm too hyperbolic?
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